Navigating fixed income markets can be a daunting task for those unfamiliar with their intricacies. A multitude of factors – fundamentals, valuations and technicals – can impact a wide range of instruments – sovereigns (developed & emerging), corporates (investment grade and high yield) –, contributing to a highly complex financial landscape.

Since his return to the White House, Trump has announced a series of country or sectoral tariff increases. If we combine all the measures announced before 2 April (20% on China, 25% on Canada and Mexico with exemption for goods that comply with the USMCA , 25% on steel and aluminum and 25% on automobiles and parts), the average tariff rate on US imports was on course to reach 11% from 2.5% end of 2024.

The US reciprocal tariffs will be announced, following weeks of market volatility. A 25% tariff on imported cars is already set to take effect, which could have significant economic and trade implications, notably on Europe, Japan and South Korea.

Early global economic data on manufacturing and services will offer insights into demand trends in March, potential sector weaknesses, and regional divergence, shaping market expectations.

The election of Donald Trump, coupled with the Republican Party's control of both houses of Congress, has resulted in a new political landscape in the United States. What key decisions must the new administration make? What impact will these decisions have on the macroeconomic environment, financial markets and investors?

Released last September, former ECB President Mario Draghi’s report urged the EU to revive and boost its competitiveness. At the end of January, the European Commission presented the Competitiveness Compass to allow Europe to revive economic growth and secure prosperity.

“Uncertainty” was probably the most important driver behind the stock market’s behaviour over the past four weeks.

As economic uncertainties intensify in the United States, European fiscal policies are emerging as a beacon of hope.